Major League Baseball Hall of Famer Ty Cobb has a lifetime batting average of .366 over 23 seasons, an incredible feat in the history of baseball. In fact, only twenty MLB players have hit .400 or better in a season, and Cobb did it three times, and the last player to do it was Boston Red Sox slugger Ted Williams in 1941. So, when I hit correctly on 40% of my fantasy football flex players last week, should I feel bad? Well, I do wish the percentage was higher, but I’ve explained before that the flex spot is the hardest to pick.
Last week, I picked as the flex boomers the following guys – Javonte Williams, Ameer Abdullah, K.J. Osborn, Julio Jones, and Alexander Mattison. By definition, a boomer is a player who exceeds his projected fantasy points. Williams, projected for 12, boomed with 20.8, and Osborn, projected for 8.5 exploded for 15.8. Abdullah didn’t really hurt you as he just missed projections of 8.8 with 8.05. Julio, who sadly continues to disappoint, busted with 5.3 and Mattison was closer to zero than his expectations. Week 15 gives us a chance for another swing at it, so let’s go.
Fantasy Football Flex Boomers Week 15
D’Onta Foreman, RB, Titans @ Steelers, 10 points (61.6% rostered)
You may be forced to start Foreman, but for many teams, he is a flex decision and this seems like a good week to roll with him. Last week, the Steelers allowed the Vikings to run all over them, giving up 36 rush attempts for 242 yards, and 2 touchdowns. The yards per carry was a blistering 6.7, and while most of the damage was done by Dalvin Cook, and I’m not saying that Foreman is Dalvin Cook, I do think that he can run for more than 10 points against the Steelers piss-poor 26th ranked defense. Speaking of defense, the Titans got to Jags QB Trevor Lawrence last week for 3 sacks and intercepted him 4 times. Have you seen the Steelers’ offensive line lately? It might be a long day for Big Ben and could allow the run-first Titans to keep the ball on the ground. The Titans ran 34 times and passed 31 times against the Jags. I see more of that this week. Fire up Foreman.
A.J. Green, WR, Cardinals @ Detroit, 9.1 points (37% rostered)
Last week against the Rams, Kyler Murray targeted Green 10 times for 7 catches and 102 yards. Green posted solid fantasy numbers with 13.7 points, but the stat sheet could’ve looked much better had Murray connected with Green once when he was wide open in the end zone. Maybe it’s the Cardinals’ home field jinx as they lost to the Rams 23-30, and are 0-3 at home, their only losses this season. But the Cardinals get the benefit of a double blessing this week as they 1) play away and 2) face the 1-11 Lions. A boost to Green is that DeAndre Hopkins, who had 12 targets in the Rams game, is now out for the season. Green collected 10 targets in a game with Hopkins on the field, so I can see Murray feeding Green all day in a game when Green is the alpha receiver. At 37% owned, flex A.J. all day.
Michael Carter, RB, Jets @ Dolphins, 11.8 points (73.3% rostered)
Carter is expected to return from IR this week and the Jets draw a tough game against a fierce Miami defense. The Fins have sacked the quarterback 19 times over the last 5 games compared to only 12 times in the first 8 games and their blitz rate is second in the league. So, why would I suggest Carter as a flex boomer against a tough defense? I expect the Jets will be forced to pass to keep up in the game and with a storming blitz, Jets QB Zach Wilson needs a relief valve. Carter coming out of the backfield is the perfect guy to get dump-off passes all day long. In week 8 against the Bengals, Carter had 14 targets and 9 catches for 95 yards. The man knows how to catch and is good with the ball in his hands. He averages 2 yards after contact. For reference, Alvin Kamara and D’Andre Swift average 1.4 yards after contact.
Cole Kmet, TE, Bears v. Vikings, 6.7 points (22.7% rostered)
I’m not sure how desperate you are for a flex player, and I am going out on a limb with this Bear as I’ve never recommended a tight end, but I think Kmet can boom. Projected for 6.7 points, 10 points is a boom and I would take that in my flex spot in the injury and Covid-19 depleted NFL right now. In 13 games, Kmet has hit 5 or more targets 8 times and over the last 3 games, his targets are 11, 7, and 5. On the season, Kmet has 10 red-zone targets but has yet to score a touchdown. Furthermore, his quarterback Justin Fields has started playing decent football, and with the Vikings limping into town, Kmet has a chance for a good game. The last two tight ends to play the Vikings, Steelers Pat Freiermuth and Lions Hockenson, put up 10 and 12.9 points respectively. Count on Cole to make it 3 tight ends in a row to post double-digits against the Vikings and to do his first Gronk-like touchdown spike.
Be Flexible and Try Fanduel If You Can’t Flex These Guys
If you don’t roster these guys as options for fantasy football flex players, consider them as worthy candidates for value plays in Fanduel. And if you’re not playing against your league mates in weekly Fanduel private group contests, you’re just doing fantasy football wrong. It’s another chance to take their money and redeem yourself if you’re 6-8 and out of the fantasy football playoffs.
Remember to check out my UCFL fantasy brethren’s Laces Out podcast on Youtube. They post a brand new episode every Friday afternoon. And if you’re watching it live, ask in the comments what the Water Boys will be cooking up this weekend on his smoker for his weekly game day feast. And don’t forget, there are 2 NFL games on Saturday this week – Raiders/Browns and Pats/Colts. Set your lineups and get your fantasy football flex players ready to go!
- Five Essential Things to Do After Your Fantasy Football Draft - September 3, 2022
- Crush Your Fantasy Football League (Tips from 4 Repeat Champions) - July 31, 2022
- Fantasy Football’s Biggest Surprises of 2021 (our worst draft day whiffs) - June 15, 2022