Did You Know? Week 10

Denver Broncos running back Javonte Williams

Granted, you might not spend as much time on fantasy football as some of us, but we’re here for your success with our weekly dive into things you need to know. Let’s get started.

Javonte Williams is emerging. But it’s really hard to notice. In week 10, JW played 57% of the snaps compared to Melvin Gordon’s 43%. That’s a flip from the last 4 week’s average of Gordon 52% and JW 48%. More importantly, is what each running back is doing with his touches. Melvin’s 10 game average yards per carry is 4.42, yet over the last 4 weeks, it dipped to 3.96 ypc.  Williams’ 10 game average ypc is 4.99, but the last 4 games have seen it rise to 5.63. That’s significant. So, why is JW not setting the fantasy world on fire? His elite production is buried in a lack of touchdowns. Gordon has 7 total TDs to Williams’ 2 on the season. Gordon, the trusted veteran, is getting more touches where they matter the most, within the 20-yard line – 54 carries to Williams’ 21. The underlying metrics are there for Williams to take over the Broncos backfield, but that might not happen without an injury to Gordon, and we aren’t hoping for that to happen. However, try to sneak up on the JW fantasy manager in your league who probably isn’t looking this deep into the details. In week 10 he put up a meager 5.9 points in .5ppr scoring and his bye is this week, so now is the time to strike! Get JW on the cheap for a chance that he can take over to help you (and me) win our leagues. He’s also an excellent stash as your keeper for next year.

The Miami defense is hot. Week 9 saw Miami’s defense roast the Houston Texans for 21.12 points in ESPN scoring, which included 3 INTs, 5 sacks, and 1 fumble recovery. But that was against a dreadful 1-7 team with a 3rd round rookie QB and my grandmother at RB. In week 10 Lamar Jackson and the Ravens rolled into Miami looking (and everyone expecting) to torpedo the Dolphins. Instead, the Fins sent 24 defensive back blitzes on Lamar — the most DB blitzes any quarterback has faced since 2015 and sacked Lamar 4 times, intercepting one pass, and forcing 1 fumble that was returned for a defensive TD. The Miami D racked up 17.4 fantasy points en route to a 22-10 victory – the lowest point total of Lamar’s pro career. Now for the good news for you – the Miami defense is rostered in only 15.5% of ESPN leagues and wait for it…their next 3 games are against the Jets, Panthers, and Giants. In week 14 they have a bye and come back weeks 15 and 16 to face the Jets again and the Saints. At 3-7, no one is paying attention to the Dolphins, but you are now, so go get them and enjoy the ride.

Robby Anderson may be worth another shot. In the 4 game stretch between weeks 4-7, Panthers WR Robby Anderson was 6th in the league in targets with 38. That is good. On the flip side, he only caught 13 passes. That’s pathetic. Sure, he dropped some balls, some right in his lap, but Sam Darnold. I’ll leave that right there. In weeks 8 and 9, Anderson’s drops led to a drop in targets with only 4 in those 2 games. But in week 10 the Panthers turned to backup QB PJ Walker to replace an injured Darnold and PJ targeted Anderson 5 times for 3 catches and the newly re-signed Cam Newton hit Robby once for a 2-yard TD strike. Robby certainly played himself to your fantasy bench or to the waiver wire, but with a QB change in Carolina, now may be the time to go get him. We shouldn’t forget last year when he caught 95 passes for 1096 yards from Teddy B.

Now you know.

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